Sunday, 25 July 2021

This week's Covid data

 The ONS survey data is always a week behind. This week it shows a slowing of the growth in cases, though this is one data point. My model would give the 7-day R number as 1.22. I haven't redrawn the line on the graph yet -  more data needed to show it is not just an anomaly.

Here is the graph for the actual reported cases for the same period - a week ago. The rise was "on trend". The R number for case growth figures was 1.34. Reported case numbers have fallen since then. It will be interesting to see if next week's ONS data backs that up.